Trends in India summer monsoon distribution over the western ghats (Record no. 157856)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 03559nam a22001697a 4500
082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 551.6
Item number ABH/TR
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Abhijit Asokan
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Trends in India summer monsoon distribution over the western ghats
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Vellanikkara
Name of publisher, distributor, etc Academy of Climate Change Education and Research
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2016
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 88
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note BSc-MSc (Integrated)
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Abstract The Western Ghats with its strategic position plays a great role in<br/>channelling the summer monsoon rain into the mainland. The natural ecosystems<br/>and human livelihoods of this region are highly dependent on the Indian Summer<br/>Monsoon rainfall and even the slightest change can trigger a change in these<br/>systems. The global climate changing scenario is having its toll in the monsoonal<br/>system over this region. The extreme events in the region have been analysed for<br/>trends using Mann Kendall method and the return periods of the one day maximum<br/>rainfall has been modelled using Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) theory.<br/>The mean annual monsoonal rainfall over the region is 1616.15 mm and the<br/>standard deviation is 242.966.It was observed that the mean annual monsoonal<br/>rainfall varied from 231.4mm in grid 117 to 3416 mm in grid 253. The one day<br/>maximum rainfall extracted from the 32 constituent grids for the entire period<br/>showed a variation from 118.63 mm in 1981 to 316.63 mm in 2005. The temporal<br/>variation in one day maximum rainfall for the time series had a significant trend.<br/>The values were seen to increase steadily and a profound increase was observed in<br/>the recent decades. When the One day maximum rainfall was analysed for different<br/>latitudes, two latitudes (14°N and 21°N) had significant positive trends in One Day<br/>Maximum Rainfall in the whole region. Out of the 32 grids, 7 grids (186, 359, 394,<br/>428, 429, 497 and 498) showed a significant rising trend in one day maximum<br/>rainfall. It was also observed that during the recent years, the occurrence of One<br/>day maximum Rainfall has shifted to the far end of the season.<br/>The number of grids getting heavy, very heavy and extreme rainfall events<br/>was found to have increased during the later years of the study. No significant trend<br/>in the instances of occurrence of heavy rainfall over the years was observed. But a<br/>significant trend was observed in the occurrences of rainfall events of very heavy<br/>and extreme magnitudes. When Split period analysis of the contribution of<br/>moderate and high intensity rainfalls was carried out, it was observed that the share<br/>of high intensity rainfalls had increased and a decrease was observed in the share<br/>of moderate events over the years. The return period analysis of the one day<br/>maximum rainfall events was done and it was observed that the 2 year, 5 year, 10<br/>year, 25 year, 50 year and 100 year return levels of rainfall as 186.2mm, 224.3 mm,<br/>250.2 mm, 283.8 mm, 309.3 mm and 335.1 mm for the complete region. The return<br/>levels for the two year return period were seen to be over 100 mm for the grids of<br/>184 (118mm), 219 (114.9mm), 253 (145.8mm), 285 (104.5mm), 357 (147.6 mm),<br/>392 (144.2mm), 427 (129.9mm) and 462 (122.4mm).<br/>A significant rising trend in the extreme events of summer monsoon rainfall<br/>over the Western Ghats was observed. This calls for better planning in all areas of<br/>livelihoods and management strategies to contain the disasters of a changing<br/>climate.<br/>
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate Change Education and Research
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Kurien, E K (Guide)
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier http://krishikosh.egranth.ac.in/handle/1/5810141245
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Item type Theses
Holdings
Not for loan Collection code Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Full call number Barcode Date last seen Koha item type
Not For Loan Reference Book KAU Central Library, Thrissur KAU Central Library, Thrissur Theses 07/12/2017 551.6 ABH/TR 174034 07/12/2017 Theses
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